Will at least 35 ships pass through the Strait of Hormuz in the week of Sep 21 – Sep 27?
What the market thinks
Connecting- Yes49%
- No51%
chance of no
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
The journey
Timeline
- Opens12:00 AM UTC
- Closes11:59 PM UTC
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
Strait of Hormuz · ship transits · 2026-W39. Yes if the final count is ≥ 35; otherwise No.
The observation window is the ISO week, Monday 00:00 to the following Monday 00:00 UTC. Settlement waits for the source to publish a final weekly count. Missing or incomplete evidence is retried and may require review; it does not mean zero transits.
Settlement source: Published weekly transit count for this passage
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