Skip to content
SHIPS

Will at least 225 ships pass through the Sunda Strait in the week of 14 September – 20 September? Settles on the transit count published for that week, a few days after the week ends.

The journey

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • Yes
    50%
  • No
    50%

    chance of no

$536 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetYes50%No50%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    12:27 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the tracking window closes
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination port publishes, once the tracking window closes. A voyage is measured against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened, not a published timetable. Arriving more than the delay threshold after that estimate settles "Delayed". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the record, not by anyone here.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
No
50%