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FLIGHTS·UAL 2218

UAL 2218 from Washington to Chicago arrived on time on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days UAL2218 has arrived on time on 70% of its 23 tracked flights between Washington and Chicago — 7 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 97%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 15, 2026, 2:42 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 15, 2026, 2:24 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 15, 2026, 2:28 AM UTC

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    97%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    2%
  • Cancelled
    0%
$577 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time97%Delayed2%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    11:13 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    2:27 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
70%on time
7delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.