256+ arrivals at Vienna on Nov 14? · No
No
71% chance at closeSettled on the airport's published count of arrivals for the local day, against the threshold fixed before the day began
- Evidence received
- Nov 15, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Final chance
- Yes29%
- NoResult71%
chance of no
Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.
Price history
Current prices are shown above.
At the airport
Timeline and payout
- Market opens11:00 PM UTC
- Market closes11:00 PM UTC
- PayoutResult: No · $1.00 per share on the outcome that happens
Recent trades
Rules
Vienna · completed arrivals · 2026-11-14 (Europe/Vienna). Yes if the final count is ≥ 256. Otherwise No.
Counts flights scheduled on the airport's local calendar day that its board shows as arrived or departed. Cancelled flights do not count. Settles once the full day's data is published. Missing or incomplete data is fetched again and may be reviewed. The count so far is provisional.
No verifiable external source is listed for this market.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
- You have material non-public information about what this market measures.