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FLIGHTS·AA 1415
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AA 1415 (Vancouver→Dallas-Fort Worth) was delayed · Sep 5

Over the last 30 days AA1415 has arrived on time on 72% of its 50 tracked flights between Vancouver and Dallas-Fort Worth — 14 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result
Delayed51% implied

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 5, 2026, 11:02 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC
No trades yet · starting price even
48%
On time
51%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
$309 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
  1. Opens
    11:50 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    12:29 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Resolved: delayed · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

Recent performance
71%on time
14delayed0cancelled
Aug 8Sep 6

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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