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FlightsSWA 168

Southwest Airlines 168 Tulsa → Phoenix was cancelled on Nov 14

SWA168 flies from Tulsa to Phoenix. 90% on time over the last 30 days (30 tracked flights).

Settled

Cancelled

2% chance at close

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Nov 14, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC
Evidence received
Nov 14, 2026, 6:34 PM UTC

The journey

Luiz Eduardo · CC BY 2.0
Southwest AirlinesSWA168

Final chance

  • On time
    76%
  • Delayed
    22%
  • CancelledResult
    2%

    chance of cancelled

$29 vol

Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.

Price history

Loading price historyOn time76%Delayed22%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Current prices are shown above.

Timeline and payout

  1. Market opens
    8:38 AM UTC
  2. Market closes
    6:34 PM UTC
  3. Payout
    Result: Cancelled · $1.00 per share on the outcome that happens

Recent performance

90%on time
2delayed1cancelled
Oct 17Nov 15

Recent trades

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Rules

Settles "Delayed" if the flight arrives more than the delay threshold after its scheduled arrival, and "On time" if it arrives within the threshold, including exactly at it. We use FAA records for US airports, and the destination airport's own published arrival time and schedule elsewhere. The threshold and scheduled arrival are fixed when the market opens.

Trades accepted after the flight's arrival is first published are voided and refunded in full, fees included. Bonus trades are refunded to your bonus balance. The publication time is the time on the flight-data message, or when an airport's board showed us the arrival. If the recorded arrival time is earlier, that is the cutoff.

Delay threshold: 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
  • You have material non-public information about what this market measures.