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FLIGHTS·AC 856
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AC 856 from Toronto to London was delayed on Sep 15

Over the last 30 days AC856 has arrived on time on 77% of its 22 tracked flights between Toronto and London — 4 late and 1 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 17%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 15, 2026, 7:35 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 15, 2026, 8:47 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 15, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    81%
  • DelayedResult
    17%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time81%Delayed17%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    12:08 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    8:50 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
77%on time
4delayed1cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
17%
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