Will MU 524 from Tokyo to Shanghai arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 16?
Over the last 30 days MU524 has arrived on time on 56% of its 27 tracked flights between Tokyo and Shanghai — 12 late and 0 cancelled.
The journey
What the market thinks
Connecting- On time73%
chance of on time
- Delayed25%
- Cancelled2%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens12:09 AM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
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