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FlightsJAL 579

Japan Airlines JAL 579 from Tokyo to Obihiro was delayed on Sep 28

Over the last 30 days JAL579 has arrived on time on 67% of its 30 tracked flights between Tokyo and Obihiro — 9 late and 1 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 21%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against the schedule it published when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 28, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 28, 2026, 10:50 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 28, 2026, 11:10 AM UTC

The journey

Mark Bess · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    77%
  • DelayedResult
    21%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time77%Delayed21%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:13 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    11:11 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent performance

67%on time
9delayed1cancelled
Aug 30Sep 28

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.