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FLIGHTS·ADO 59

Will ADO 59 from Tokyo to Hakodate arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 13?

Over the last 30 days ADO59 has arrived on time on 31% of its 29 tracked flights between Tokyo and Hakodate — 20 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported yet. We keep checking, and the market settles automatically the moment it arrives. There is no deadline, and no funds have moved.

The journey

contri · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    58%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    40%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time58%Delayed40%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:13 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:00 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
31%on time
20delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.