Skip to content
FLIGHTS·AAL 176

Will AAL 176 from Tokyo to Dallas-Fort Worth arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 16?

Over the last 30 days AAL176 has arrived on time on 72% of its 32 tracked flights between Tokyo and Dallas-Fort Worth — 8 late and 1 cancelled.

The journey

Live
Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    64%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    35%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$132 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time64%Delayed35%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. In the air
    Opens
    1:29 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
72%on time
8delayed1cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
64%