CA 184 from Tokyo to Beijing arrived on time on Sep 22
Over the last 30 days CA184 has arrived on time on 97% of its 30 tracked flights between Tokyo and Beijing — 1 late and 0 cancelled.
On time
market said 53%Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against the schedule it published when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 22, 2026, 3:20 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 22, 2026, 3:17 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 22, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On timeResult53%
chance of on time
- Delayed46%
- Cancelled1%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens4:06 PM UTC
- Closes3:28 AM UTC
- SettlesSettled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
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