Skip to content
FLIGHTS·UPS 109

UPS 109 from Tokyo to Anchorage, Sep 17 — market voided

Over the last 30 days UPS109 has arrived on time on 91% of its 33 tracked flights between Tokyo and Anchorage — 2 late and 1 cancelled.

Cancelled

No arrival time was ever published

All positions refunded

This flight landed, but no arrival time was ever published for it — the airport's own board does not report one, and no independent tracking covers it. Without that time the outcome cannot be decided, so every position was refunded in full.

The journey

Dylan Ashe · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    —
  • Delayed
    —
  • Cancelled
    —
$453 vol

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time—Delayed—Cancelled—
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:56 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:21 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    No arrival time was ever published
Recent performance
90%on time
2delayed1cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.