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FLIGHTS·UAL 5877

Will UAL 5877 from Springfield to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days UAL5877 has arrived on time on 75% of its 8 tracked flights between Springfield and Chicago — 2 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Live
Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    60%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    38%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$110 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time60%Delayed38%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    3:34 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
75%on time
2delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

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On time
60%