Will ASA 2045 from Spokane to Seattle arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?
Over the last 30 days ASA2045 has arrived on time on 67% of its 9 tracked flights between Spokane and Seattle — 1 late and 2 cancelled.
Trading closed — waiting on the result
No more trades can be placed. The event itself decides the outcome, and the market pays out $1.00 on every winning contract as soon as the result is reported.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time89%
chance of on time
- Delayed11%
- Cancelled1%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- ArrivedOpens7:32 PM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
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- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.