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FlightsUAL 5587

Will United Airlines UAL 5587 from Spokane to Denver arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 30?

Over the last 30 days UAL5587 has arrived on time on 69% of its 29 tracked flights between Spokane and Denver — 9 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported or processed yet. We keep checking authoritative records and valid alternatives; no funds have moved. There is no automatic refund deadline while evidence is missing, and settlement waits until a valid outcome is established under this market's terms.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0
United AirlinesUAL5587

Where it finished

  • On time
    99%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    1%
  • Cancelled
    0%
$554 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time99%Delayed1%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:43 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    7:42 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

71%on time
8delayed0cancelled
Sep 2Oct 1

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

A trade accepted after the flight's arrival was first published is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). Publication is dated by the flight-data message's own time, or by when an airport's board served the arrival to us; if the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.