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FLIGHTS·FDX 8582

Will FedEx Express FDX 8582 from Sioux Falls to Pierre arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?

Over the last 30 days FDX8582 has arrived on time on 44% of its 16 tracked flights between Sioux Falls and Pierre — 9 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Trading closed — waiting on the result

Trading has closed, so no more trades can be placed. We keep checking the authoritative record and valid alternatives. Each contract on the outcome that happens pays $1.00 once a valid outcome is established and the market settles; a missing report does not itself establish an outcome or start an automatic refund deadline.

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    36%
  • Delayed
    63%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$191 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time36%Delayed63%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    2:16 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
44%on time
9delayed0cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.