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FLIGHTS·BA 168

BA 168 from Shanghai to London arrived on time on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days BA168 has arrived on time on 53% of its 30 tracked flights between Shanghai and London — 13 late and 1 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 79%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 13, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 13, 2026, 5:06 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 13, 2026, 5:14 PM UTC

The journey

Steve Lynes from Sandshurst, United Kingdom · CC BY 2.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    79%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    19%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time79%Delayed19%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    12:03 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    5:10 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
53%on time
13delayed1cancelled
Aug 15Sep 13

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.