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FLIGHTS·MU 5119

Will China Eastern Airlines MU 5119 from Shanghai to Beijing arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 27?

Over the last 30 days MU5119 has arrived on time on 93% of its 29 tracked flights between Shanghai and Beijing — 2 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    78%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    20%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$66 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time78%Delayed20%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    4:09 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
93%on time
2delayed0cancelled
Aug 29Sep 27

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.