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FLIGHTS·ASA 478

Will ASA 478 from Seattle to Burbank arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 13?

Over the last 30 days ASA478 has arrived on time on 41% of its 32 tracked flights between Seattle and Burbank — 19 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported yet. We keep checking, and the market settles automatically the moment it arrives. There is no deadline, and no funds have moved.

The journey

4300streetcar · CC BY 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    61%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    37%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$128 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time61%Delayed37%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:43 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    8:10 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
41%on time
19delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.