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Flights

511+ arrivals at Seattle Tacoma on Nov 14?

Chance

Connecting
  • Yes
    21%
  • No
    79%

    chance of no

$456 vol

Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.

Price history

Loading price historyYes21%No79%
Loading price history

Current prices are shown above.

At the airport

Timeline and payout

  1. Market opens
    8:00 AM UTC
  2. Market closes
    8:00 AM UTC
  3. Payout
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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Rules

Seattle · completed arrivals · 2026-11-14 (America/Los_Angeles). Yes if the final count is ≥ 511. Otherwise No.

Counts flights scheduled on the airport's local calendar day that its board shows as arrived or departed. Cancelled flights do not count. Settles once the full day's data is published. Missing or incomplete data is fetched again and may be reviewed. The count so far is provisional.

No verifiable external source is listed for this market.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
  • You have material non-public information about what this market measures.