1I 886 from Saranac Lake to Chicago arrived on time on Sep 11
Over the last 30 days 1I886 has arrived on time on 29% of its 7 tracked flights between Saranac Lake and Chicago — 5 late and 0 cancelled.
On time
market said 82%Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 12, 2026, 12:09 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 11, 2026, 11:35 PM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 11, 2026, 11:43 PM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On timeResult82%
chance of on time
- Delayed17%
- Cancelled1%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens7:51 PM UTC
- Closes11:45 PM UTC
- SettlesSettled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
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- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
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