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FlightsUAL 2866

United Airlines UAL 2866 from San Francisco to Santa Barbara, Sep 20 — market voided

Over the last 30 days UAL2866 has arrived on time on 75% of its 40 tracked flights between San Francisco and Santa Barbara — 10 late and 0 cancelled.

Cancelled

Voided by our team

All positions refunded

A member of our team voided this market and refunded every position in full.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0
United AirlinesUAL2866

Where it finished

  • On time
    —
  • Delayed
    —
  • Cancelled
    —
$98 vol

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time—Delayed—Cancelled—
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    7:50 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    11:39 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Voided by our team

Recent performance

75%on time
10delayed0cancelled
Sep 2Oct 1

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

A trade accepted after the flight's arrival was first published is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). Publication is dated by the flight-data message's own time, or by when an airport's board served the arrival to us; if the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.