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FlightsSN 8820

Brussels Airlines SN 8820 from San Francisco to Chicago was delayed on Sep 19

Over the last 30 days SN8820 has arrived on time on 83% of its 24 tracked flights between San Francisco and Chicago — 4 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 72%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against the schedule it published when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 19, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 19, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 19, 2026, 9:40 PM UTC

The journey

MarcelX42 · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    27%
  • DelayedResult
    72%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$129 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time27%Delayed72%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:04 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:43 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent performance

83%on time
4delayed0cancelled
Aug 29Sep 27

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.