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FLIGHTS·UAL 2432

Will UAL 2432 from San Francisco to Austin arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 13?

Over the last 30 days UAL2432 has arrived on time on 32% of its 41 tracked flights between San Francisco and Austin — 28 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported yet. We keep checking, and the market settles automatically the moment it arrives. There is no deadline, and no funds have moved.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    60%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    39%
  • Cancelled
    1%
$189 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time60%Delayed39%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    2:12 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:51 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
33%on time
27delayed0cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.