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FlightsUAL 2432

Will United Airlines UAL 2432 from San Francisco to Austin arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 28?

Over the last 30 days UAL2432 has arrived on time on 36% of its 53 tracked flights between San Francisco and Austin — 34 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    72%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    26%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$104 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time72%Delayed26%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    7:30 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

37%on time
33delayed0cancelled
Aug 30Sep 28

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.