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FlightsAC 1684

Air Canada AC 1684 from San Diego to Toronto was cancelled on Sep 29

Over the last 30 days AC1684 has arrived on time on 73% of its 30 tracked flights between San Diego and Toronto — 4 late and 4 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Cancelled

market said 2%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 29, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 28, 2026, 12:40 PM UTC

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Air CanadaAC1684

Where it finished

  • On time
    76%
  • Delayed
    22%
  • CancelledResult
    2%

    chance of cancelled

$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time76%Delayed22%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:47 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    7:10 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Cancelled · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent performance

76%on time
3delayed4cancelled
Sep 1Sep 30

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

A trade accepted after the flight's arrival was first published is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). Publication is dated by the flight-data message's own time, or by when an airport's board served the arrival to us; if the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.