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FlightsUAL 2476

Will United Airlines UAL 2476 from San Diego to Denver arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 27?

Over the last 30 days UAL2476 has arrived on time on 89% of its 56 tracked flights between San Diego and Denver — 6 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Live
Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    28%
  • Delayed
    71%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$200 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time28%Delayed71%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. In the air
    Opens
    6:18 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

89%on time
6delayed0cancelled
Aug 29Sep 27

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.