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FLIGHTS·AZ 1267
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Will AZ 1267 from Rome to Napoli arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 16?

Over the last 30 days AZ1267 has arrived on time on 20% of its 30 tracked flights between Rome and Napoli — 23 late and 1 cancelled.

The journey

Steven Byles · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    50%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    48%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time50%Delayed48%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    10:09 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
21%on time
22delayed1cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
50%