Will American Airlines AA 3817 from Rochester to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?
Over the last 30 days AA3817 has arrived on time on 65% of its 26 tracked flights between Rochester and Chicago — 8 late and 1 cancelled.
The journey
Live
What the market thinks
Connecting- On time76%
chance of on time
- Delayed24%
- Cancelled0%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- In the airOpens5:02 AM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.