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FLIGHTS·NZ 2818

NZ 2818 from Roanoke to Chicago was delayed on Sep 15

Over the last 30 days NZ2818 has arrived on time on 75% of its 12 tracked flights between Roanoke and Chicago — 3 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 89%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 15, 2026, 4:55 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 15, 2026, 5:50 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 15, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC

The journey

Nathan Jones · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    11%
  • DelayedResult
    89%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    0%
$346 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time11%Delayed89%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    7:24 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    5:55 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
75%on time
3delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.