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FLIGHTS·FI 853

Will FI 853 from Reykjavik to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days FI853 has arrived on time on 92% of its 12 tracked flights between Reykjavik and Chicago — 1 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Live
MarcelX42 · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    48%
  • Delayed
    51%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$79 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time48%Delayed51%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. In the air
    Opens
    1:43 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
92%on time
1delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
51%