ASA 2416 (Redmond→Portland) was on time · Sep 5
Over the last 30 days ASA2416 has arrived on time on 31% of its 16 tracked flights between Redmond and Portland — 11 late and 0 cancelled.
Settled · Result
On time72% implied
Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 5, 2026, 11:36 PM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 5, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 5, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC
No trades yet · starting price even
72%
On time
27%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
$169 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
- Opens1:28 AM UTC
- Closes11:52 PM UTC
- SettlesResolved: on_time · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles
We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
15+ min late counts as "delayed"
Recent performance
33%on time
10delayed0cancelled
Aug 8
On timeDelayedCancelled
Sep 6Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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