Will PMI see at least 459 arrivals on Sep 12, 2026, airport local time? — Yes
Yes
market said 50%Settled on the airport's published count of arrivals for the local day, against the threshold fixed before the day began
- Evidence received
- Sep 13, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
At the airport
Where it finished
- YesResult50%
chance of yes
- No50%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens11:27 AM UTC
- Closes10:00 PM UTC
- SettlesSettled: Yes · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
PMI · completed arrivals · 2026-09-12 (Europe/Madrid). Yes if the final count is ≥ 459; otherwise No.
Only flights scheduled within the airport-local calendar day and reported by its board as arrived or departed count. Cancelled flights do not count. Settlement waits for the complete day and the publication delay; incomplete or missing observations are retried and may require review. A running count is provisional.
The public payload does not identify a verifiable external source for this contract.
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