American Airlines AAL 2471 from Phoenix to Santa Ana, Sep 22 — market voided
Over the last 30 days AAL2471 has arrived on time on 75% of its 36 tracked flights between Phoenix and Santa Ana — 9 late and 0 cancelled.
No arrival time was ever published
All positions refundedThis flight landed, but no arrival time was ever published for it — the airport's own board does not report one, and no independent tracking covers it. Without that time the outcome cannot be decided, so every position was refunded in full.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time—
- Delayed—
- Cancelled—
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens12:00 PM UTC
- Closes1:17 AM UTC
- SettlesNo arrival time was ever published
Recent performance
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.