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FLIGHTS·AAL 480

AAL 480 from Phoenix to San Diego was delayed on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days AAL480 has arrived on time on 67% of its 27 tracked flights between Phoenix and San Diego — 9 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 40%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 15, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 15, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 15, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    58%
  • DelayedResult
    40%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$112 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time58%Delayed40%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    6:01 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    2:30 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
67%on time
9delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.