AAL 6474 from Phoenix to Flagstaff was delayed on Sep 13
Over the last 30 days AAL6474 has arrived on time on 63% of its 30 tracked flights between Phoenix and Flagstaff — 11 late and 0 cancelled.
Delayed
market said 99%Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 14, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 14, 2026, 4:57 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 14, 2026, 4:57 AM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On time1%
- DelayedResult99%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled0%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens9:27 AM UTC
- Closes4:58 AM UTC
- SettlesSettled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.