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FLIGHTS·AAL 5003

Will AAL 5003 from Phoenix to Durango arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days AAL5003 has arrived on time on 63% of its 35 tracked flights between Phoenix and Durango — 13 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    56%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    42%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$113 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time56%Delayed42%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    1:29 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
63%on time
13delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

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On time
56%