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FlightsAAL 6246

Will American Airlines AAL 6246 from Phoenix to Burbank arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 30?

Over the last 30 days AAL6246 has arrived on time on 91% of its 55 tracked flights between Phoenix and Burbank — 5 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0
American AirlinesAAL6246

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    85%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    13%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$24 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time85%Delayed13%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    3:36 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

93%on time
4delayed0cancelled
Sep 1Sep 30

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.