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FlightsCX 7524

Will Cathay Pacific CX 7524 from Philadelphia to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 27?

Over the last 30 days CX7524 has arrived on time on 70% of its 23 tracked flights between Philadelphia and Chicago — 7 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    85%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    13%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$121 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time85%Delayed13%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    8:45 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

70%on time
7delayed0cancelled
Aug 29Sep 27

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.