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FlightsFR 440

Will Ryanair FR 440 from Palma De Mallorca to Nuremberg arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Oct 1?

Over the last 30 days FR440 has arrived on time on 83% of its 30 tracked flights between Palma De Mallorca and Nuremberg — 5 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Michael Oldfield · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    78%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    20%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time78%Delayed20%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:17 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

83%on time
5delayed0cancelled
Aug 31Sep 29

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.