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FLIGHTS·DE 1697

Will DE 1697 from Palma De Mallorca to Hamburg arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 20?

Over the last 30 days DE1697 has arrived on time on 90% of its 30 tracked flights between Palma De Mallorca and Hamburg — 3 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

TJDarmstadt · CC BY 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    89%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    9%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time89%Delayed9%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    7:38 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
90%on time
3delayed0cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
89%