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FLIGHTS·AAL 1228

AAL 1228 from Orlando to Philadelphia arrived on time on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days AAL1228 has arrived on time on 96% of its 28 tracked flights between Orlando and Philadelphia — 1 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 60%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 1:32 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 14, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 1:28 PM UTC

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    60%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    40%
  • Cancelled
    0%
$282 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time60%Delayed40%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    12:11 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:10 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
96%on time
1delayed0cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.