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FlightsAA 3268

American Airlines AA 3268 from Orlando to Philadelphia arrived on time on Sep 28

Over the last 30 days AA3268 has arrived on time on 82% of its 50 tracked flights between Orlando and Philadelphia — 8 late and 1 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 70%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against the schedule it published when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 28, 2026, 9:58 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 28, 2026, 9:45 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 28, 2026, 9:55 PM UTC

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    70%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    28%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time70%Delayed28%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:05 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:56 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent performance

84%on time
7delayed1cancelled
Aug 31Sep 29

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.