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FLIGHTS·AC 3364

Will AC 3364 from Orlando to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

AC3364 flies between Orlando and Chicago. No earlier run of this flight has been tracked yet.

Closed

Trading closed — waiting on the result

No more trades can be placed. The event itself decides the outcome, and the market pays out $1.00 on every winning contract as soon as the result is reported.

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    22%
  • Delayed
    77%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$222 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time22%Delayed77%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    6:34 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    5:07 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.