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FLIGHTS·AAL 3799

Will AAL 3799 from Norfolk to Miami arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 14?

Over the last 30 days AAL3799 has arrived on time on 47% of its 17 tracked flights between Norfolk and Miami — 6 late and 3 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported yet. We keep checking, and the market settles automatically the moment it arrives. There is no deadline, and no funds have moved.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    64%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    34%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$48 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time64%Delayed34%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    5:44 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    7:46 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
47%on time
6delayed3cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.