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FLIGHTS·AS 6533

Will Alaska Airlines, Inc. AS 6533 from Norfolk to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?

Over the last 30 days AS6533 has arrived on time on 83% of its 23 tracked flights between Norfolk and Chicago — 4 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

4300streetcar · CC BY 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    95%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    3%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$252 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time95%Delayed3%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    8:59 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
83%on time
4delayed0cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.