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FLIGHTS·ASA 17

Will Alaska Airlines, Inc. ASA 17 from New York to Seattle arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?

Over the last 30 days ASA17 has arrived on time on 42% of its 26 tracked flights between New York and Seattle — 15 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

4300streetcar · CC BY 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    49%
  • Delayed
    49%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$40 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time49%Delayed49%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:18 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
42%on time
15delayed0cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.