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FLIGHTS·DAL 2806

Will DAL 2806 from New York to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days DAL2806 has arrived on time on 46% of its 26 tracked flights between New York and Chicago — 13 late and 1 cancelled.

The journey

Jeroen Stroes Aviation Photography from Netherlands · CC BY 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    60%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    37%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$158 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time60%Delayed37%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:04 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
46%on time
13delayed1cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
60%