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FLIGHTS·SU 1074

SU 1074 from Moscow to Sochi was cancelled on Sep 16

Over the last 30 days SU1074 has arrived on time on 26% of its 27 tracked flights between Moscow and Sochi — 14 late and 6 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Cancelled

market said 2%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 16, 2026, 2:55 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

The journey

Anna Zvereva · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    56%
  • Delayed
    42%
  • CancelledResult
    2%

    chance of cancelled

$33 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time56%Delayed42%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    5:20 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    11:01 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Cancelled · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
27%on time
13delayed6cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.